As of January 31, 2024, over 4.27 million Ukrainians who fled the war have received temporary protection status in EU countries. Germany (1.27 million), Poland (951,560), and the Czech Republic (381,190) have sheltered the most refugees.
This is indicated by Eurostat data.
Compared to the end of December 2023, the absolute increase in the number of refugees was highest in Germany (+18,905, +1.5%), the Czech Republic (+8,155, +2.2%), and Spain (+2,830, +1.5%). Meanwhile, the number of asylum seekers decreased in five EU countries: Italy (-18,125 persons, -11.2%), Poland (-3,235, -0.3%), Estonia (-225, -0.6%), France (-205, -0.3%), and Luxembourg (-10, -0.2%).
Compared to the population of each EU country, the highest number of recipients of temporary protection per thousand people at the end of January 2024 was observed in the Czech Republic (35.2), Bulgaria (26.7), Lithuania (26.4), Estonia (26.2), and Poland (25.9). The corresponding indicator at the EU level was 9.6 per thousand people.
Ukrainian citizens make up over 98% of the recipients of temporary protection. Among them, adult women comprise almost half (46.1%), children nearly a third (33.2%), and adult men slightly more than one-fifth (20.7%) of the total.
On February 10, 2024, the German federal government officially admitted that in the worst-case scenario in Ukraine and Russia’s victory, the number of Ukrainian refugees could increase by 10 million. However, as the newspaper Welt am Sonntag adds, the German government’s forecasts are based on the assumption that Ukraine has the military and financial capabilities to support its defense and stability until the end of 2024.
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